By LinkZelda

POSTED: 15 Apr 2012 07:51

BUMPED: 14 Jan 2013 18:56

CATEGORY: Miscellaneous

FEATURED: Yes ( HullBreach )

POSTED: 15 Apr 2012 07:51

BUMPED: 14 Jan 2013 18:56

CATEGORY: Miscellaneous

FEATURED: Yes ( HullBreach )

You have been invited to a new and innovative gameshow in which you have 3 doors. Two of which have goats behind them. One of them contains a posh car. The host will ask you to pick a door. He will then open a door to reveal a goat (revealing the car is a stupid idea.) He then asks you if you wish to change your door or stick with your original choice. The question is, is it better to stick, switch or does it make no difference. Also, this idea derived from 'Let's Make a Deal' a gameshow.

Most people think that it's a fifty-fifty choice because one door is taken out of the equation to leave two doors therefore the choice is for two doors not three. However, it doesn't work like this. Let's assume 1 and 2 both contain goats. If you pick 1, 2 is revealed and if you pick 2, 1 is revealed. So the door that is revealed is never fixed. Therefore this isn't a two-way choice.

The question still remains. Is it better to stick or switch? Sticking is easy to explain because picking a goat initially is a two in three chance and therefore you have a 1 in 3 chance of winning a car. Sticking is about initial choice in other words.

In order to win by switching, you have to land on a goat. This is because the other goat is revealed and you are forced to have the car. Landing on a goat initially results in swapping to a car. Therefore you have a two in three chance of winning a car.

Which strategy is better then? Well it depends whether or not you want a car. But the best route for winning the car is obviously switching. If you want a goat, stick with your original choice.

Most people think that it's a fifty-fifty choice because one door is taken out of the equation to leave two doors therefore the choice is for two doors not three. However, it doesn't work like this. Let's assume 1 and 2 both contain goats. If you pick 1, 2 is revealed and if you pick 2, 1 is revealed. So the door that is revealed is never fixed. Therefore this isn't a two-way choice.

The question still remains. Is it better to stick or switch? Sticking is easy to explain because picking a goat initially is a two in three chance and therefore you have a 1 in 3 chance of winning a car. Sticking is about initial choice in other words.

In order to win by switching, you have to land on a goat. This is because the other goat is revealed and you are forced to have the car. Landing on a goat initially results in swapping to a car. Therefore you have a two in three chance of winning a car.

Which strategy is better then? Well it depends whether or not you want a car. But the best route for winning the car is obviously switching. If you want a goat, stick with your original choice.

Asparagus

14 Jan 2013 22:29

14 Jan 2013 22:29

If you choose a goat, and decide you'd rather have the goat than the car, you are not crazy.

Take the goat. Milk the goat. Save up all the profits from the goat milk for about four or five years.

Buy new used car.

Take the goat. Milk the goat. Save up all the profits from the goat milk for about four or five years.

Buy new used car.

a.smith

14 Jan 2013 21:53

14 Jan 2013 21:53

Everyone knows this. I don't see the point in making a blog about it since its just common sense.

Kingpin

17 Apr 2012 04:08

17 Apr 2012 04:08

I thought I was reading nonsense at first, then I read the comments and I had to reread it. Cool.

Princess Konata

16 Apr 2012 07:48

16 Apr 2012 07:48

Keep the derpy goat or try for a Honda.Just curious but what would you guys choose?

Lawl, I'm just curious.

Lawl, I'm just curious.

OmniOmega

16 Apr 2012 01:32

16 Apr 2012 01:32

WHAT IN SDK'S NINE STAGES OF NOOB ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT?

I'm not understanding this. :c

I feel left out. xD

I'm not understanding this. :c

I feel left out. xD

Mrs. Lovett

15 Apr 2012 23:52

15 Apr 2012 23:52

Quoth Mrs. Lovett:

Awesome, frivolous restatement!

I hate it when my coconut can't decide whether or not it should migrate or not!

Awesome, frivolous restatement!

Mrs. Lovett

15 Apr 2012 23:46

15 Apr 2012 23:46

I hate it when my coconut can't decide whether or not it should migrate or not!

Nope.avi

15 Apr 2012 12:01

15 Apr 2012 12:01

I remember learning about this one back in Middle School. It was pretty cool.

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